Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.424928 3.785650 4.176914 4.634271 5.156021 5.734785 6.428272
2025-09-07 2.972928 3.469029 4.045284 4.769697 5.663903 6.741884 8.155532
2025-09-14 2.618006 3.172696 3.848972 4.745155 5.918255 7.425453 9.548143
2025-09-21 2.352878 2.936496 3.675586 4.697181 6.100011 8.000696 10.846167
2025-09-28 2.086473 2.663415 3.415813 4.490763 6.024265 8.193542 11.609936
2025-10-05 1.954983 2.550793 3.350392 4.530767 6.280401 8.866723 13.160579
2025-10-12 1.858655 2.474282 3.322621 4.613817 6.598430 9.659029 15.010636
2025-10-19 1.774167 2.405208 3.296030 4.690678 6.908262 10.468486 17.014192
2025-10-26 1.696839 2.338890 3.265528 4.754665 7.199037 11.276464 19.147117
2025-11-02 1.619600 2.266035 3.217856 4.784410 7.432545 12.011052 21.268982
2025-11-09 1.509656 2.136601 3.074086 4.645964 7.365149 12.202368 22.357262
2025-11-16 1.428429 2.045210 2.982033 4.582854 7.418696 12.615221 23.965137
2025-11-23 1.360292 1.971354 2.914824 4.559575 7.547921 13.201597 26.096974
2025-11-30 1.329476 1.953721 2.935982 4.688768 7.969784 14.418268 29.921970
2025-12-07 1.270628 1.887655 2.873081 4.664222 8.097746 15.056983 32.529760
2025-12-14 1.212517 1.819235 2.801425 4.617190 8.175532 15.598943 35.022593
2025-12-21 1.131042 1.708321 2.651440 4.415124 7.923841 15.390716 35.499260
2025-12-28 1.097856 1.675359 2.632327 4.454285 8.165736 16.317144 39.310954
2026-01-04 1.073891 1.656304 2.635703 4.535581 8.503397 17.515685 44.249501
2026-01-11 1.050340 1.636510 2.636214 4.610811 8.835950 18.755924 49.707550
2026-01-18 1.026209 1.614315 2.630803 4.673436 9.147408 19.996006 55.586084
2026-01-25 0.998608 1.584591 2.609766 4.702547 9.386048 21.089382 61.355679
2026-02-01 0.949712 1.515177 2.511977 4.567047 9.229098 21.104293 63.239889